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算一年 1.48 次拦截. 王星事件那个 WPS 1k 多 * 10 当 false negative. 50%误报.(以上会提示负值)
喂 Gemini 的结果.
For a action A.
Given:
N the total event time = 0.146 billion
False negative = 10,000
False positive = 50% of total event(N)
Calculate:
True/False positive/negative.
Also show in percent of N
结果
Final Results and Percentages (of N):
TP (True Positives): 36,495,000 (25% of N)
FP (False Positives): 73,000,000 (50% of N)
TN (True Negatives): 36,495,000 (25% of N)
FN (False Negatives): 10,000 (≈ 0.0068% of N)
P (Positive Events): 36,505,000 (≈ 25.0034% of N)
NG (Negative Events): 73,000,000 (50% of N)
如果计算正确的话.
看看有没有能找到一个比较符合价值观的对应值估计反诈的价值?
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NotLongNil Jan 12, 2025
反诈的价值，先把对普通人的影响和行政成本，这些支出扣了先
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2
danhahaha Jan 12, 2025
羊圈的围栏成本，你按羊被狼吃的损失算怎么都不合算，要按如果不围起来，羊跑掉的损失算
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3
huaweii May 27, 2025
补充下 2 楼，预防性投资看似合理，其实容易被滥用为幌子，为糟糕决策找借口。
因为只要说“是为了防止最坏情况”，就能掩盖成本极高、收益模糊的投资。 |
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